Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby: “And Then It Was Ten…”

October 22nd, 2008, 11:40 AM EDT

Points, that is. More specifically, Obama 51.6% to McCain’s slowly losing ground, down another .4 in the latest tracking report.


Pollster John Zogby: “Three big days for Obama. Anything can happen, but time is running short for McCain. These numbers, if they hold, are blowout numbers. They fit the 1980 model with Reagan’s victory over Carter — but they are happening 12 days before Reagan blasted ahead. If Obama wins like this we can be talking not only victory but realignment: he leads by 27 points among Independents, 27 points among those who have already voted, 16 among newly registered voters, 31 among Hispanics, 93%-2% among African Americans, 16 among women, 27 among those 18-29, 5 among 30-49 year olds, 8 among 50-64s, 4 among those over 65, 25 among Moderates, and 12 among Catholics (which is better than Bill Clinton’s 10-point victory among Catholics in 1996). He leads with men by 2 points, and is down among whites by only 6 points, down 2 in armed forces households, 3 among investors, and is tied among NASCAR fans.”

 

You would think at this point, McCain would stop the vicious attacks on Obama’s character, end the robocalls, reign in Palin, and go out on a high note.  Asking too much?

Responses to this post...

  1. McCain’s been dropping like that for awhile now and if he continues, it will be statistically significant.

    I just hope Obama can gain ground with those important NASCAR voters. “Hey, hold my beer while I’m in the voting booth.”

    Posted by Hope for Change
    October 22nd, 2008 at 12:24 pm
  2. Alan, the numbers continue to be very encouraging ! I remember when McCain was ahead by a bit and that Chicken-Hawk Hannity who have to put up with was trying to rub it in your face. Last night on H&C I thought he was going freak out and start trashing the set. Watch out. I think he’s getting close to blowing gasket on camera.

  3. Alan, you ought to re-emphasize to your Republican guests that the following are NOT working for McCain:

    - “Obama is a Socialist”

    - “Joe The Plumber”.

    - Bill Ayers

    - ACORN

    - Sarah Palin

    Oh, and if good old Dick Morris continues to suggest that Rev Wright be brought up as an issue, you should remind him of his earlier writing:

    “Wright’s rantings are not reflective of Obama’s views on anything. Why did he stay in the church? Because he’s a black Chicago politician who comes from a mixed marriage and went to Columbia and Harvard. Suspected of not being black enough or sufficiently tied to the minority community, he needed the networking opportunities Wright afforded him in his church to get elected. If he had not risen to the top of Chicago black politics, we would never have heard of him.

    (Dick Morris,March 18 – http://www.dickmorris.com/blog/2008/03/18/pastor-wright-this-too-shall-pass/)

    ……………

    I just put about $200 on McCain to win. Had some spare cash in my betting account from a previous win. The odds are huge right now so, if the Reps steal this, I get a consolation prize. The tactics are getting increasingly dirty, so I wouldn’t be amazed if McCain could steal this…

    Posted by Paul (the original!)
    October 22nd, 2008 at 1:54 pm
  4. It is going to be highly entertaining after BHO wins this thing. The saps that believed him and put him in office are going to have to suffer the consequences of their mistake for FOUR YEARS! Then it will be like Carter – you won’t be able to find anybody that actually voted for him.

    LMFAO!!!

  5. If I was McCain, I think I would be worried about the RNC taking BOTH of them out and replacing McCain with a younger adulterer like Guilliani or Gingrich?

    Actually I suppose Gingrich could be president and Guilliani could be the Lady VP! That’s NOT bad…

    Posted by FourMoreWars
    October 22nd, 2008 at 2:30 pm
  6. JONES says — “It is going to be highly entertaining after BHO wins this thing”

    Agreed and the haters will continue to spew crap against him as the rest of this nation pulls together to get things back on track.

    Around my area many people have replaced Bush/Cheney bumper stickers with Obama/Biden and vowing not to get fooled again ! My subdivision has about 100 houses and republicans out number democrats 4 to 1.. There’s two McCain lawns signs. That’s it..

  7. Hey GT, do these new Obama converts think BO is going to lower their taxes?

    HAHAHA!!!

  8. >>> Hey GT, do these new Obama converts think BO is going to lower their taxes? HAHAHA!!! <<<<<

    Well, I’ve only talked to about a dozen or so down my street but taxes don’t seem to be the main topic. The wars and economy are center.

    I live in rural GA and many of these guys have never voted for a democrat ever before. It’s been interesting to see some of these long time repubs state how they don’t think McCain has a plan and are damn sure uneasy about Palin being “in charge”.

  9. What you might not want to remember is that Carter was ahead in the polls until the end when the polsters new they had to save face. Polls mean only what the polsters want them to mean. They seldom reflect the true election numbers see Kerry / Gore should I go on???

  10. Do you seriously expect that if the same were true and McCain represented the challenging party, and was ahead with 80% saying the country saying we are on the wrong track, and someone had said what you just did, that you would say,”Oh, you are right, I’m more worried now?”

  11. No, I understand the logic.. Polls only mean something when your guy is leading and Hannity/Morris are cheerleading with them.

  12. You know what Joe Six-Pack REALLY thinks?

    The 7-Eleven coffee cup poll: Obama 60%, McCain 40%.

    Posted by Rocky the Liberal Rottweiler
    October 22nd, 2008 at 4:38 pm
  13. Jones; after 8 years of W you think it could get much worse?

  14. Jones; after 8 years of W you think it could get much worse?

    The fact is when it comes to the economy BOTH McCain and Obama stink. BO just stinks much worse. The only difference between them is how deep the hole will be that they dig for this country. There is no way the BO can keep any of his economic campaign promises. There is NO MONEY!! There is no money to borrow, there is no money to tax. That leaves one option – PRINT IT! How much will your funny-money tax rebate be worth after the Fed “prints” a couple trillion dollars to fund BO’s massive spending addiction? HAHA! Yeah, it will get MUCH worse.

  15. A conservative radio talk show host just now said that if Obama gets in, he’s going to have all conservatives in the US put in determent camps and then executed.

    Just more of the sickness that is out there. It was bad during the Kerry/Bush campaign but nothing like this.

    I do wonder if these people are really that paranoid and truly believe what they say or are they just trying to scare their audiences to death and whip them up into a frenzy.

  16. Epiphany: “A conservative radio talk show host just now said that if Obama gets in, he’s going to have all conservatives in the US put in determent camps and then executed.”

    You know, I remember hearing translations of things being said in the Middle East about America, and it astounded me that a people could be so incredibly heeby-jeeby stupid.

    The Republican Party is sounding more and more like the muslim extremist parties.

    My god, do we really want a president backed by a whole demographic of freaked-out, half-cocked, muddle-headed paranoids?

    Lord, they say Obama’s a “danger,” but I see millions of Republicans armed to the teeth saying things I would formerly associate with African, South American, Russian, or Middle East provincial guerrilla groups.

  17. [...] Pollster John Zogby discusses the latest poll numbers in the 2008 presidential [...]

  18. My god, do we really want a president backed by a whole demographic of freaked-out, half-cocked, muddle-headed paranoids?

    By supprting BO, Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid et al it is quite obvious you do…

  19. My god, do we really want a president backed by a whole demographic of freaked-out, half-cocked, muddle-headed paranoids?
    …………………………….

    By supporting McCain, Palin, Phil Gramm, Lindsey Graham, Joe Lieberman et al, it is quite obvious you do.

    See how EVERYTHING you say is also said by the other side.

    It’s nothing new.

  20. It’s hysterically funny to me how citizens can get wrapped up over these two losers. They’re both products of the same old club, and funded by it. They both voted for the bailout, and Joe Biden has been playing the same old game for 36 years, and some think there’s a change in that ticket? Regardless of the outcome, the problems will remain.

    Posted by The Conservative
    October 23rd, 2008 at 2:48 pm
  21. Sounds like the conservatives on this board are already conceding the race. Please answer this, why do you come here? You would be more comfortable with your kind over at michellemalkin.com.

    Posted by southern girl lib
    October 23rd, 2008 at 3:22 pm
  22. It’s hysterically funny to me how citizens can get wrapped up over these two losers. They’re both products of the same old club, and funded by it. They both voted for the bailout, and Joe Biden has been playing the same old game for 36 years, and some think there’s a change in that ticket? Regardless of the outcome, the problems will remain.

    LMAO! Hello Kettle! I’m Pot! YOU’RE BLACK!!! HAHAH!

  23. Sounds like the conservatives on this board are already conceding the race.

    True conservatives don’t have a dog in this race. These guys are Tweedle Dumb and Tweedle Dumber

  24. Jones: “True conservatives don’t have a dog in this race. These guys are Tweedle Dumb and Tweedle Dumber”

    Again….It’s like a drunk wrecking the car and blaming the passengers.

    So long, GOP! It’s been nice knowing you for at least three out of the last five times I voted. You won’t be hearing from my votes again for awhile.

  25. Southern Girl…”your kind?” Aren’t we all Americans? Hmmmm.