Why Republicans Won’t Win The House Back
- Unlike in ’94, the Republican Party has a fav/unfav score that’s no better (and sometimes event worse) than the Dem Party’s;
- Unlike in ’94, the GOP isn’t necessarily running on new ideas or even with many new faces;
- The National Republican Congressional Committee has a HUGE financial disadvantage compared with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, and the RNC’s political/fundraising troubles won’t be able to make up the difference; and
- Winning 39 seats is a tall order. After all, when Democrats won back the House in 2006 — during the height of violence in Iraq and after Hurricane Katrina — they picked up 30 House seats. The GOP will need almost 10 more than that.
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