The entrance of Governor Perry to the presidential race is the biggest news since the race began. Michael Tomasky says he is the soon to be frontrunner for the Republican nomination.
First, I think Perry becomes the frontrunner, even ahead of Mitt Romney, for three main reasons. No. 1, he fires up large chunks of the base in a way Romney does not. Romney has “default candidate” written all over him, but evangelicals and other hard-shell conservatives are never going to love a Massachusetts Mormon. They’ll love Perry. No. 2, Perry can quickly become the “establishment” candidate because the establishment of today’s GOP is not based on Wall Street or the heartland but in Texas—Karl Rove, the oilmen, the various billionaires who prime those GOP pumps. No. 3 is speculation rather than fact, but I believe Perry will demonstrate pretty quickly that he’s a better campaigner than Romney. It won’t be hard.
Tomasky also goes on to say that unlike Romney, Perry is a frontrunner who could cause problems for the president in the general election. But there is one great hope for both Romney and Obama. Either one of them will beat Michele Bachmann easily in a one-on-one contest. Furthermore, from Governor Romney’s perspective, the longer she stays in the race, the longer the evangelical, won’t-raise-the-debt-ceiling, Social-Security-is-a ponzi-scheme vote will be split.
If I were advising either the president or Governor Romney, I’d tell them to start subsidizing the Bachmann campaign.