What Will Happen In Iowa
Nate Silver, best political forecaster in the business, has his first model available. As you can see from the chart here, the race is still very fluid as three candidates have at least a 10% chance of winning and the range of possible outcomes for each candidate (the 95% confidence interval for stat geeks) is pretty wide.
My pick is still Ron Paul and if the outcome looks something like the above, I think we will be bidding farewell to Bachmann and Santorum after the caucuses.Click here for reuse options!
Copyright 2011 Liberaland