Why Romney Needs 36% In New Hampshire To Declare Victory
Last time, Mitt Romney received 31.6% of the vote in the New Hampshire primary, but lost to John McCain by 5 1/2 points. John Heilemann explains:
Set against those precedents, if Romney ends up with over 40 percent of the vote and a healthy double-digit win, it will be seen as an unequivocal triumph. At the other extreme, if he finishes with less than 31 percent and/or a mere single-digit win, it will be interpreted as a clear disappointment, maybe even as a kind of defeat. Any result that falls in between those poles will be read more ambiguously, though my sense of the over-under at this point is a double-digit win with 36 percent — a five-point improvement on 2008.Click here for reuse options!
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