It has been a great couple of weeks for the president and the Democrats. The hope is that it continues with tonight’s debate. However, Governor Romney has several important advantages that should not be overlooked.
That said, James Fallows, who documented Romney’s debating skills here, points out one big weakness.
When the subject is one he’s prepared for, he rarely falters. When it’s not, or when an exchange goes on longer or in a different direction than expected, many of his ad-libbed responses turn out to be mistakes (“I’ll bet you $10,000!”). Thus the Romney team has the impossible challenge of trying to imagine every question or attack line that might come up in debates with Obama, while the Obama team tries to imagine what Romney’s might have missed. This kind of chess game is always part of debate preparation, but it is unusually important this year, because the gap between Romney at his best and at his worst is so wide.
President Obama needs to surprise Romney tonight or get him angry. Otherwise, my guess is that Romney holds his own and the polls move slightly toward him. Coupled with some fading of the convention/47% bounce, the narrative for the next week might be about a tightening race.